Rising Urgency to Save Our Planet has Uranium (and This Company) on High Alert

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When it comes to carbon-free energy, forget what the mainstream media tells you about electric vehicles, solar panels, and wind farms as the be-all, end-all solution for clean energy. Yes, they have their place, but they are not the complete package. Not by a long shot. It may be politically correct to bang that drum, but that doesn’t ignore the fact that wind, sun, and lithium will fix climate change.
A viable solution that is in abundant and readily available today – no hundreds of billions of dollars to spend on infrastructure and incentives for mainstream adoption – is uranium, a feedstock for nuclear reactors that generate scalable power with zero carbon emissions.

Here are some of the advantages of using uranium as a source of clean energy:

● Reliability: Nuclear power plants can operate 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, regardless of the weather. This makes them a reliable source of energy for baseload power, which is the minimum amount of electricity that a grid needs to operate at all times.

● Abundance: Uranium is a relatively abundant element, with estimated reserves that could last for hundreds of years. This makes it a more sustainable source of energy than fossil fuels, which are becoming increasingly scarce.

● High Energy Density: Nuclear power plants are very efficient at converting fuel into energy. According to Spring Power & Gas, nuclear fission (the process used to generate nuclear energy) releases much greater amounts of energy than simply burning fossil fuels like gas, oil, or coal to the extreme of being nearly 8,000 times more efficient at producing energy than traditional fossil fuels.

● Cleanliness: Nuclear power plants do not emit direct greenhouse gases, making them a cleaner alternative to fossil fuels.

● Mobility: Small mobile reactors (SMRs) are growing in popularity amongst governments, businesses, and investors because they are less expensive to build, scalable, portable, and generally safe due to built-in passive safety features. Plus, they are flexible, as they can be used to generate electricity, heat, or desalinated water.

For those contesting that wind and solar are better for the atmosphere, know they are not.

The Base Case: Supply Deficit Looming Against Booming Demand
According to Atha Energy Corp. (CSE: SASK)(OTCQB: SASKF), which cites World Nuclear Association (WNA), the uranium market is currently in a 26% production deficit and expected to increase significantly by 2040, with over 50% of global production embedded with significant geopolitical risk. More on that in a second.

WNA also said this year that approximately 30 countries, from small to developed, are considering, planning, or starting nuclear power programs. In April, UK, US, Canada, Japan, and France signed a joint nuclear deal at the G7 summit. Although established, there is plenty of headroom for growth, as nuclear energy currently only provides about 30% of the world's low carbon electricity.

It is the supply pressure that underscores Australia’s Dept. of Industry, Science and Resources projecting uranium spot prices to reach $57.90/pound in 2023 and $59.60/pound in 2024, up from $51 in 2022 due to supply risks.

Need a little more color? Check out the image below as it speaks volumes to the deficit and rising uranium prices.

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On the same front, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) is monitoring the uranium market and is concerned about the potential for a supply deficit. The IAEA has called on countries to invest in uranium exploration and production to ensure that there is a sufficient supply of uranium to meet future demand.

Not enough evidence? The International Energy Association (IEA) sees uranium as critical to reducing reliance on important fossil fuels as a top energy security priority, as well as integral to reaching net zero emissions targets in response to the climate crisis. In the words of the IEA, “Nuclear energy, with around 413 gigawatts (GW) of capacity operating in 32 countries, contributes to both goals by avoiding 1.5 gigatonnes (Gt) of global emissions and 180 billion cubic metres (bcm) of global gas demand a year.”

Political instability is the 700-pound gorilla in the room, because unrest in uranium-producing countries could disrupt production and lead to a supply shortage. For example, the war in Ukraine has disrupted uranium production in Russia and Kazakhstan, two of the world's largest uranium producers.

Roughly one-third of enriched uranium used in the United States is now imported from Russia. President Joe Biden has faced scrutiny for buying uranium from Russia and recently designating 1.1 million acres of uranium-rich land around the Grand Canyon as a national monument, siding with environmentalists to protect aquifers by banning mining. However, the Biden administration affirmed its commitment to uranium with the signing of the Inflation Reduction Act, which contained $700 million for producing a supply of high assay low enriched uranium (HALEU) that many advanced nuclear reactors are expected to use.

It's no secret that the level of reliance on uranium from Russia and its allies has become a bane in the side of the U.S.

As the Secretary of Commerce concluded in a report published in the Federal Register, “the present quantities and circumstance of uranium imports are ‘weakening our internal economy’ and ‘threaten to impair the national security.’”

The Solution is in Our Own Backyard
There are about 450 commercial nuclear power reactors operable worldwide. 93 of those are in the U.S. The U.S. is the largest consumer of uranium and has less than 0.2% of global production. There is an easy trail to follow for the U.S. to reduce foreign dependence on hostile trade partners and fill demand for uranium from its closest allies, namely Canada. In fact, Canada is the glaring obvious answer.

Canada is the U.S.’s second-largest trading partner (narrowly eclipsed by Mexico). Canada produced 7,351 tonnes of uranium in 2022, accounting for 15% of the world's total production, ranking it second behind only Kazakhstan. For decades, Canada was the world’s biggest uranium producer until Kazakhstan surpassed it in 2009. Production comes mainly from Cameco’s (TSX: CCO)(NYSE: CCJ) McArthur River and Cigar Lake mines in northern Saskatchewan province, home to the Athabasca Basin and the largest and highest-grade uranium in the world. Over 900 million pounds of U3O8 (triuranium octoxide, one of the more popular forms of uranium yellowcake) have been produced since 1975 from the basin. While still vastly underexplored, the region is host to the third-largest known uranium resources (606,600 tonnes of U3O8) on Earth. In fairness, estimates vary, including a video by The Buzz listing the top ten countries by uranium reserves showing Canada to hosting 873,000 tonnes. Point being, Canada has a vast amount of the metal.

Guess who has the largest prospective land package in the Athabasca region? ATHA Energy Corp. (CSE: SASK)(OTCQB: SASKF).

Massive Land Package with High Profile Neighbors and Partners
ATHA Energy is a mineral exploration company focused on the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral resource properties. ATHA holds the largest cumulative exploration package in the Athabasca Basin, the world's most prominent basin for uranium discoveries, with 3.4 million acres along with a 10% carried interest portfolio of claims operated by NexGen Energy Ltd. (TSX: NXE) and IsoEnergy Ltd. (TSX–V: ISO), two of the most successful development teams in the basin.

The portfolio was meticulously accumulated by ATHA Energy across approximately 10 years, with many of the projects savvily snagged during the depths of the uranium bear market. With the land package was amassed – and still growing – ATHA Energy became a public entity in April 2023.

For the sake of brevity, a portfolio this extensive is best described with an image.

As made clear in the image, ATHA Energy not only has property in the well-known uranium-rich areas Cigar Lake and McArthur River, but other areas booming with exploration and other greenfield-type properties thought to hold the following centuries of uranium.

These are identifiable in four distinct zones or discovery districts. The East Rim zone is the location of the McArthur River mine, the largest production mine in the world. It is also home to the Cigar Lake mine, the highest-grade production mine in the world and a full slate of accompanying infrastructure.

Moving west, the land is host to discoveries by NexGen and Fission Uranium nearby carried lands that now represent the top two development assets in the Athabasca Basin. The land is recognized as a preeminent uranium exploration area for high-grade, high-tonnage mineralization with exploration activity ongoing near ATHA’s carried lands by NexGen.

The North Rim has historical showings that are highly prospective for additional high-grade, open-pitable mineralization. Cameco, Orano, and NexGen are a few of the companies exploring this area for the region’s next great discoveries. Historic exploration in the North Rim began in the early to mid 1900s, production was tied to mines near Uranium City.

The West Rim is an area historically under-explored for uranium despite multiple uranium showings in the area. It is in close proximity to the Maybelle deposit held by Orano and GoldMining.

A Quick Word on the 10% Carried Interests
Firstly, ATHA’s carried interest on IsoEnergy’s land is located adjacent to Canada’s only two operating uranium mines (Cigar Lake and McArthur River) in one of the Athabasca Basin’s most active areas for exploration and production of uranium. To lend some color, consider that Cigar Lake has produced 105 million pounds of uranium since 2014 and that McArthur River is not only absurdly high-grade, it has 275 million pounds Proven & Probable U3O8 reserves.
 Then there is nearby Christie Lake, a project that delivered amongst the best uranium drilling results of 2022 for the region, with mineralization still open in all directions.

The key prospective exploration grounds of NexGen Energy have been validated by the nearby Patterson Lake South and Arrow discoveries, the two top-ranked assets in the basin. Fission Uranium Corp.’s Patterson Lake South has 115 million pounds of uranium Indicated, 15 million Inferred, and 93 million Probable. It has a Net Present Value of C$1.2 billion.

NexGen’s Arrow (note that this is adjacent, but not part of ATHA’s carried interest) has 257 million pounds of uranium Measured and Indicated, and another 80 million pounds Inferred. It has a Net Present Value of C$3.5 billion.

The discoveries on the lands next to ATHA Energy’s carried interest speak volumes to the opportunity at hand for the partners. ATHA Energy has two carried interest land packages with NexGen. One is home to the Gartner Lake Corridor, which displays strong similarities to the NexGen property that hosts the Arrow deposit. Similar characteristics to the Arrow deposit property include a strong conductive signature with numerous offsets coincident with discrete gravity lows and steep magnetic gradients.

The other is located on a parallel prospective corridor to the Patterson Lake Corridor, which currently hosts two of the largest uranium deposits discovered in the last 10 years. The land is high priority for NexGen as it also has similar geophysical characteristics to the Arrow deposit.

The Micro Complements the Macro
Micro and macro can be a matter of perspective. ATHA Energy is micro compared to the macro perspective of the uranium industry. At the same time, the gigantic land package of ATHA Energy (the macro) is impressive, but it is each team member (the micro) that makes ATHA Energy shine with their track record of value creation. In the world of junior explorers, it is all about the history of the team and the probability of repeating success.
SASK’s land package wasn’t by accident. The land was sourced by the same group that staked NexGen’s foundational assets and assets leading to Hathor Exploration’s Roughrider deposit (C$650 million sale to Rio Tinto).

Again, for brevity’s sake, it is impossible to highlight all the accomplishments of the entire SASK team that is a brilliant mix of resource and capital markets experts.

CEO Troy Boisjoli brings extensive experience in developing uranium assets both internationally and in the Athabasca Basin. He was previously Vice President Operations and Project Development as well as Vice President Exploration and Community for NexGen Energy Ltd., where he led a team through the development of the Arrow Deposit. Prior to joining NexGen Energy in 2016, Boisjoli worked as an exploration geologist for Cameco Corporation on projects throughout northern Saskatchewan and Australia. In Saskatchewan, Mr. Boisjoli served as the Chief Geologist at the underground Eagle Point uranium mine, where his team increased the mineral resources threefold, while reducing drilling and discovery costs.

Doug Engdahl is Managing Director at ATHA Energy. He has over 20 years of experience managing various companies with over 15 years of geological experience in both junior and major exploration and mining sectors across North America and in Africa. His extensive mineral exploration experience has been focused on data compilation and interpretation, drill target generation and drill program management, as well as resource and mine modeling with focus on structural geology and resource calculations. Engdahl has extensive Athabasca Basin resource experience having previously spent over eight years working as a Senior Mine Geologist on Cameco Corporation's McArthur River Mine.

Doug Adams, VP Exploration, has 17+ years of geoscience experience working in the mining industry with a specific focus in uranium. Mr. Adams spent over 10 years as a geologist with Cameco where he managed multiple projects and was responsible for drill targets, downhole data interpretation, and supervision of junior geologists. Beyond Cameco, Mr. Adams also brings uranium experience from his time working with Denison Mines, 92 Energy and Okapi Resources and has been part of significant uranium discoveries and advancement of known deposits throughout the Athabasca region.

Jeff Barber, ATHA Energy Director, has worked closely with various public company boards and executive teams to assist in capital markets initiatives and advise on go-public transactions, valuations and M&A mandates. Mr. Barber was a co-founder and CFO of Hiku Brands until the company’s sale to Canopy Growth in 2018. Prior to that Mr. Barber was a managing partner of a boutique energy focused M&A advisory firm in Calgary.
Again, let a picture do the talking.

Let the Discovery Begin
Leaders with the experience of the ATHA team are methodical in all they do, including succinct exploration. The land package is certainly promising. Now it is time to get to work. The company recently announced details of its 2023 exploration program, which includes undertaking the largest ever multi-platform electromagnetic (EM) survey in the history of the Athabasca Basin, representing a critical step in the company's large-scale, systematic discovery process.

The surveys will be conducted across 16 of ATHA’s projects in the basin covering a whopping 2.1 million acres. These initial districts are believed to have the potential to host the three fundamental deposit model types, including Beaverlodge style, high-grade sandstone-hosted unconformity, and high-grade basement-hosted deposits.

The program is purposely designed to create a contiguous data set using industry-leading geophysical technology across the company's property to identify prospective targets and inform future exploration decisions.

For those in geologic circles, ATHA Energy is focusing its EM survey on three exploration districts: East Rim, Cable Bay, and North Rim. Xcite TDEM (time domain electromagnetic) and Geotech's VTEM geophysical platforms are to be flown over areas of limited to moderate depth to basement. The MobileMT and ZTEM geophysical platforms are to be flown over areas to evaluate deeper unconformity targets.

“The fundamentals for uranium and the nuclear industry have never been better and we believe they offer the right incentives for an unprecedented survey program of this magnitude,” said Boisjoli in a press release on the program. Exploration company executives often are low-key, but that may be the most understated comment of 2023. Investors would be wise to pay attention for the first words on how the massive exploration project is progressing. You can bet all their bigger neighbors will be.

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